Good Evening! Steady climb in temperatures through the weekend, with some early morning clouds and mist as the Gulf of Mexico continues to surge moisture into the region. This will keep morning temperatures rather warm...and bring in some early morning clouds. Next shot of rain could come on Monday with an approaching cold front, but still unsure at this time...will have to monitor over the weekend. Stay Tuned!
Another nice day tomorrow, but a little cool in the morning. This is because a cold front is pushing through overnight out of the north/east. The effects of this front will only slightly decrease the afternoon temperatures through the Central Texas region from the high temperatures this afternoon...and southerly flow will again set up to allow more moisture to moved into the area from the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday morning.
Next rain chances are on Monday...but model trends remain very inconsistent, and therefore it's difficult for me to create an accurate, useful forecast for early next week at this time,...so stay tuned!
Happy Hump Day!
A cool night ahead...sub-freezing in some areas, and likely frost wide-spread through the region. Tomorrow (Thursday) will be a nice day as well, and slightly warmer than today, with less wind (except West Texas). Friday/Saturday/Sunday looks like we could see some morning clouds, but pleasant afternoons.
Possibly a another round of potent storms early next week, so stay tuned!
Good Evening! What a storm last night if you were anywhere right along the Highway 90 and the south through La Pryor and Pearsall!
Multiple reports of golf-ball sized hail through the region (evident by the dents in my truck). Also some very strong winds (60 mph+) and even perhaps a short-lived funnel cloud/tornado through north Del Rio (but not confirmed).
The good news is, just some breezy winds overnight and dwindling out tomorrow, followed by a few days of decent weather (average temperatures for this time of year and no rain). Stay postured for more severe weather potentially as early as Monday/Tuesday of next week...still a ways out, so subject to change. Spring is here!
Severe Weather on it's way for Central Texas...please read below.
Through the course of the evening tonight, expect thunderstorms and rain showers to begin building through Central Texas. Thunderstorms have already developed in West Texas and are expected to push east through the evening and overnight hours.
The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center has labeled the Sanderson-Del Rio-Sonora-Kerrville-San Antonio region (see diagram below) for a slight potential for severe thunderstorms overnight...beginning at around 7-8 PM in the Western Areas...impacting Del Rio around 9-11 PM, and the San Antonio area shortly after midnight and into the early morning hours. Timing isn't completely resolved by the forecast models, however...so stay alert for the local weather alerts. Much of Central Texas remains under-the-gun for marginal risk of severe thunderstorms. For the latest weather alerts issued by the National Weather Service, enter your zip-code in the box below.
Above...the Storm Prediction Center's outlook for this evening and into the overnight/early morning hours on Tuesday. Yellow indicates Slight Potential for Severe Thunderstorms while Green indicates Marginal Potential. Hazards include hail, winds, and isolated tornadoes.
Right now, models are showing the most concerning weather sticking along and just north of the Highway 90 Corridor...in the higher terrain of the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country. However, there is a possibility that a stray storm could move off the higher terrain and impact areas such as Del Rio, Brackettville, Uvalde, Eagle Pass, Hondo.....even potentially Carrizo Springs/Crystal City and Cotulla.
Current projections are (will likely change...can't use it as gospel...but are cool to look at):
To Be Clear- Large Hail, Damaging Winds (50+ mph), and Tornadoes are all possible overnight tonight through much of Central Texas. In the event of one of these hazardous weather features occur, seek shelter immediately...and if a tornado warning is issued, seek shelter in a basement of an interior room of your house.
Rainfall amounts could exceed two inches in isolated areas, although there is a general consensus of about 1-1.75" through the Edwards Plateau and less than an inch south of the Highway 90. It really looks like the higher terrain will get nearly all of the precipitation, although all it takes is one storm (like the one pictured in the forecasted radar image above dipping south into the Cotulla area) to drop several inches of rain anywhere through the Central Texas region.
The good news is...I personally don't think this will be a wide-spread outbreak (at least in Central Texas)...but the potential remains for very dangerous weather through the region.
On Tuesday, gusty winds will take over, clearing the area out...but this will drive increased Fire Weather Conditions through much of the area as winds could gust in excess of 40 mph, especially along elevated terrain.
Dan Schreiber is an operational meteorologist, with experience