Good Evening Central Texas-
What a nice day! Much cooler tomorrow as a strong cold front will push through during the early morning hours tonight, but the over-running of the moist Gulf air (shown by the fog this morning around most parts) will keep the area cloudy and not allow for very much daytime warming. This could bring some rain showers through the region during the early morning, but if they do occur, they will be light, short, and insignificant. West Texas and the Fort Stockton area could see up to a tenth of an inch through the day. The rest of the Central Texas area will have sporadic, isolated rainfall through the day due to overrunning, largely insignificant, but enough to see some wet roads in some places.
I like to add graphics from time to time to forecasts to allow readers to get an idea of how meteorologists create forecasts, and all of our cool weather models that we use to get a better understanding of the atmosphere.
Above, you can see six graphics for 4am Tuesday morning. Left to right, up to down...these are:
Surface Relative Humidity, Surface Dew Point, Surface Wind Speed, Cloud Height, Surface Visibility, and Forecasted Composite Reflectivity (Radar).
If you notice, there is a distinct line drawn through South and East Texas by this model in all of these pictures...that is the cold front pushing through. So, why didn't I show you surface temperature? Well, because, in this case, since it will remain somewhat cloudy outside all day, the surface temperature
won't drop very much (mostly because of the timing that the cold front is pushing through during the coldest part of the morning)...we will see the effects later during the afternoon when the temperature only reaches into the 50's (instead of the 70's like today).
Dan Schreiber is an operational meteorologist, with experience