It may surprise you that many of these forecasts have no meteorologist behind them – they are simply computed by advanced formulas and modelling software which are calibrated to spit out forecasts for anywhere on the planet. No meteorologist, no expertise.
But, it gets worse.
The internet and the exponential advancement of technology over the past few decades have greatly improved the capabilities of the meteorology community. Weather can be forecasted for anywhere in the world, from anywhere in the world. Accuracy rates have skyrocketed, meteorological information has multiplied, and lives are being saved as a result.
All of this, however, hinges on one very important lifeline – technology, more specifically, the Internet, supercomputers, and electricity.
Here within lies the present-day problem, and in my opinion, a major threat to the safety and security of society. Old-timer meteorologists are shrinking in numbers, and their skills of extremely limited-data forecasting along with them. Universities don’t concentrate much – if at all – on limited data weather forecasting and analysis, and the U.S. National Weather Service relies heavily on supercomputers to compile terabytes of weather information together into a readable output for data analysis.
Dan Schreiber is an operational meteorologist, with experience